Skip to content
All methods

Predictions

Technology report: predictions ledger

Every public prediction the report has made, with the confidence we gave it, the date it resolves and the source that will settle it. A later issue grades each claim when it comes due, and the grade is added here.

Standing methodPredictions ledger

  1. Set in October 2026

    AI roles will be at least 5 percent of postings at the firms on our list that meet the coverage bar, in the twelve months to October 2027 (3.5 percent at six firms this year)

    Confidence
    40%
    Resolves by
    Grade
    Not yet graded
    Resolved against
    pipelines/jobs collection for October 2026 to October 2027, firms meeting the coverage bar

  2. Set in October 2026

    The next comparable Canadian Survey on Business Conditions (CSBC) wave (second quarter of 2027) will show professional services AI use above 35 percent

    Confidence
    50%
    Resolves by
    Grade
    Not yet graded
    Resolved against
    Statistics Canada, Canadian Survey on Business Conditions, second quarter of 2027

  3. Set in October 2026

    At least one top-ten Canadian law firm will post a partner-level AI role

    Confidence
    50%
    Resolves by
    Grade
    Not yet graded
    Resolved against
    Firm careers pages and Job Bank Canada, October 2026 to October 2027

  4. Set in October 2026

    Statistics Canada's next comparable CSBC wave (second quarter of 2027) will show at least 25 percent of all Canadian businesses using AI

    Confidence
    60%
    Resolves by
    Grade
    Not yet graded
    Resolved against
    Statistics Canada, Canadian Survey on Business Conditions, second quarter of 2027, all industries